DAI Zhiyin, XU Shuxian, ZHONG Wei
Objective To develop a simplified risk score model based on clinical features for the early identification of coronary artery occlusion (CAO) in patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). Methods A total of 182 patients with NSTEMI were enrolled, and divided into a CAO group ( n =91) and a non-CAO group (n = 91) based on coronary angiography findings. We collected clinical data including history of myocardial infarction or cerebral infarction, hypotension, heart failure, segmental wall motion abnormalities indicated by echocardiography, acute mitral regurgitation, persistent chest pain, and chest pain refractory to optimal medical therapy. Chi-square tests were used to analyze intergroup differences, and Logistic regression analysis was applied to assess the predictive value of the above features for CAO. Variables with predictive significance were assigned scores approximating their regression coefficients in the Logistic regression model if positive, or 0 if negative. The simplified risk score was derived by summing the scores of all variables. The diagnostic cut-off value of the score was determined using ROC curve analysis, and the predictive performance of the model for NSTEMI with CAO was evaluated. Results Patients in the CAO group were significantly younger than those in the non-CAO group (P<0. 05). There were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in terms of sex, advanced age, diabetes, hypertension, or smoking history (all P>0. 05). Compared with the non-CAO group, the CAO group had significantly higher proportions of patients with hypotension, heart failure,segmental wall motion abnormalities, persistent chest pain, and chest pain refractory to optimal medical therapy (all P < 0. 05). Logistic regression analysis identified hypotension, heart failure, segmental wall motion abnormalities, persistent chest pain, and chest pain refractory to optimal medical therapy as significant predictors of CAO (all P<0. 05). ROC curve analysis showed that the simplified risk score model had an AUC value of 0. 819(95%CI 0. 757 - 0. 881), with an optimal cut-off value of 3. 1 points, yielding a sensitivity of 72. 5% and a specificity of 81. 3%. Conclusion A simplified risk score model based on clinical features—including hypotension, heart failure, segmental wall motion abnormalities, persistent chest pain, and chest pain refractory to optimal medical therapy—could accurately identify those with CAO among NSTEMI patients.