MENG Fanrui1,2,3, WANG Xiang1,2,3, E Wenjuan1,2,3, WANG Kexin1,2,3, ZAN Yuyao4
The dynamic graph structure was proposed to address the non-Euclidean property of vehicle interactions for realizing the exchange of vehicle information among highway vehicles. The multi-modal driving behavior trajectory prediction model was designed with incorporating graph convolutional neural network (GCN), convolutional social pooling (CS) and long short-term memory network (LSTM). The LSTM encoder-decoder was used as foundation framework, and the vehicle interaction relationships were effectively extracted by convolution and graph convolution. The maximum pooling and average pooling techniques were introduced to achieve feature extraction and background information retention. The results show that by the proposed model, the root mean square error (RMSE) is 4.03 m in long-term horizon (5 s) and is significantly improved by 10.8% compared to the baseline model. Compared to other deep learning models, the proposed model exhibits higher accuracy. The prediction performance of the model is 8% to 11% better than that of the baseline model in different traffic scenarios. The ablation experiments can confirm the effectiveness of each module in the model. The proposed model can predict the probability distribution and corresponding trajectories of vehicles in various modalities over long-term horizon in the future.