Abstract：The carbon dioxide emission model was proposed based on the production function theory to exactly predict the carbon dioxide emissions about the economic and social development with energy consumption. The common carbon dioxide emission model was developed based on the production function theory and the real relation about the economic and social development with energy consumption. The classic carbon emission deduction models were used to verify the common model. A series of Chinese carbon dioxide models were deduced with driving factors of population, gross domestic product (GDP), urbanization rate, energy intensity, energy structure and industrial mix under the different hypothesizes. The future carbon dioxide emission was estimated with Chinese National Bureau of Statistics historical and extrapolation prediction driving factor data. The results show that the new carbon dioxide model is more coincident with the actual situation, and the population, GDP and urbanization rate are determinative factors. According to the new model, the prediction show that Chinese carbon dioxide emission peak will be before or after 2027, and the economic and social development will be decarbonization by 2030.
吴剑, 许嘉钰. 基于生产函数理论的碳排放量模型及应用[J]. 江苏大学学报（自然科学版）, 2019, 40(3): 320-324.
WU Jian, XU Jia-Yu. Carbon emission deduction model and application
base on production function theory[J]. Journal of Jiangsu University(Natural Science Eidtion)
, 2019, 40(3): 320-324.
2019, Vol. 40 
