Abstract:Taking the energy resources structure for Jiangsu Province as background, a non-llnear model is established by leading into competition, which takes the coal as major resource and petroleum, natural gas and the other energy resources as minor ones. The dissipation of the system is analyzed by precise proofs, and three equilibrium points are obtained. Then the stability of equilibrium points, bifurcation and etc. are analyzed as well. Pitchfork bifurcation and Hopf bifurcation exist in the system by proofs. The corresponding measures are proposed by analyzing the domain of the elastic coefficient for petroleum and natural gas consumption in Jiangsu Province. According to the result, the elastic coefficient can not be too large or too small; otherwise it would cause the system unstable. So if the sustainable development is realized between economy, energy and environment, suitable increase of the proportion for petroleum and natural gas consumption is necessary when the system is stable.
田立新, 赵柳榕, 孙梅 . 江苏省能源结构模型动力学分析[J]. 江苏大学学报(自然科学版), 2008, 29(1): 82-85.
Tian Lixin, Zhao Liurong, Sun Mei- . Energy resources structural system for Jiangsu Province and its dynamical analysis[J]. Journal of Jiangsu University(Natural Science Eidtion)
, 2008, 29(1): 82-85.