Abstract： The “new rural social oldage insurance” is a pilot policy, so the research on its reasonable replacement rate can not only provide a reference for the government to improve this policy, but also affect the farmers vital interests and insurance initiative. A model is designed to set the lower limit of the new rural social oldage insurances reasonable replacement rate on the base of ELES model, and then the reasonable replacement rate of new rural social oldage insurance is calculated with Jiangsu Province as an example. The results show that the reasonable replacement rate should be maintained at about 50%, but the actual substitution rate according to the current policy is relatively low, and can be improved by increasing the personal account funds rate of return and pay grades.
刘沛栋1， 李放2. 新型农村社会养老保险合意替代率研究 ——以江苏省为例[J]. 江苏大学学报（社会科学版）, 2015, 17(5): 58-65.
Liu Peidong1, Li Fang2. The Research on the Reasonable Replacement Rate of
New Rural Social Oldage Insurance —A Case Study of Jiangsu Province. Journal of Jiangsu University（Social Science Editi, 2015, 17(5): 58-65.
2015, Vol. 17 
